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FDIC REPORT ANALYZES EFFECTS OF SLOWING ECONOMY ON
DEMAND FOR U.S. OFFICE SPACE

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
PR-71-2001 (10-02-01)
Media Contact:
Rosemary George (202) 898-6530

A slowing economy contributed to softening in some U.S. office markets during the first half of 2001. According to a report released today by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), a combination of trends - a drop in demand for office space and an uptick in construction activity in some markets - has led to a slackening of office market conditions.

According to Torto Wheaton Research, which supplied the data used in the analysis, the U.S. office vacancy rate, which stood at a 20-year low of 8.3 percent at year-end 2000, jumped to 10.8 percent at mid-year, the largest increase in any 6-month period since the data became available in 1980. Current office vacancy rates remain well below the 13.9 percent average of the past 20 years, but the rapidity with which conditions have softened merits the attention of insured institutions specializing in commercial real estate or construction lending.

However, it is important to note that edition of Regional Outlook was prepared using data extant before the terrorist attack on September 11, 2001.

Other regional developments discussed in the third quarter 2001edition of the Regional Outlook include:

Atlanta Region. Analysis of highly competitive banking markets in the Region's non-metropolitan counties suggests that community banks in these areas generally exhibit a heightened risk profile similar to banks in urban areas and under-perform other non-metropolitan community banks.

Boston Region. Effective fraud risk management practices and appropriate levels of fidelity insurance may help reduce the possibility of fraud and minimize losses at insured institutions as the economy slows.

Chicago Region. The sluggish economy is pressuring banks' asset quality, while mid-year imbalances in the Region's manufacturing and commercial real estate sectors temper the economy's near-term growth prospects.

Dallas Region. The potential for declining levels of off-farm income during a slowing economy and reduced government payments could weaken many agricultural producers' ability to repay existing debt or acquire new loans.

Kansas City Region. In recent years, farmland values appear to be increasingly supported by government payments. The timing and amount of these payments have been and could continue to be uncertain, making assessment of borrower creditworthiness and collateral protection difficult.

Memphis Region. A slowing economy is contributing to earnings erosion and adversely affecting consumer and construction credit quality among the Region's insured institutions.

New York Region. Counties have not benefited equally from the economic expansion, and this has contributed to differences in performance among the Region's insured institutions.

San Francisco Region. Softness in the Region's high-tech manufacturing and lumber sectors; emerging weakness in the tourism industry; and previously lax underwriting, increasing commercial and industrial loan concentrations, and tighter staffing ratios could further weaken insured institution commercial loan quality.

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Attachment: The National Edition Regional Outlook, Third Quarter 2001

Congress created the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation in 1933 to restore public confidence in the nation's banking system. The FDIC insures deposits at the nation's 9,840 banks and savings associations and it promotes the safety and soundness of these institutions by identifying, monitoring and addressing risks to which they are exposed.

FDIC press releases and other information are available on the Internet at www.fdic.gov or through the FDIC's Public Information Center (800-276-6003 or (703) 562-2200).

Last Updated 10/02/2001 communications@fdic.gov